Germany vs Ukraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
GER
2 - 0
HUN
85%
11%
5%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
GER
1 - 3
SVK
87%
10%
4%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
GER
4 - 1
ITA
69%
18%
13%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
GER
2 - 3
ENG
57%
21%
21%
|
94 | 94 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
FRA
2 - 0
GER
29%
24%
47%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 3
UKR
19%
26%
55%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
ROU
3 - 4
UKR
45%
27%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
UKR
1 - 0
WAL
60%
23%
17%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
UKR
1 - 0
CYP
73%
18%
9%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
SVN
1 - 1
UKR
29%
27%
44%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |