WC Play Offs Final
Global 5-2
Germany vs Ukraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.6%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.2%
5-0
7.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
+5
9.8%
4-0
12.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.7%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.2%
2.2%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
UKR
1 - 1
GER
6%
16%
78%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
GER
0 - 0
FIN
86%
11%
4%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
GER
1 - 5
ENG
47%
25%
28%
|
95 | 98 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
HUN
2 - 5
GER
24%
26%
50%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2001 |
ALB
0 - 2
GER
14%
23%
64%
|
95 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
UKR
1 - 1
GER
6%
16%
78%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
POL
1 - 1
UKR
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2001 |
UKR
3 - 0
ARM
79%
14%
7%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
BLR
0 - 2
UKR
29%
27%
44%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
LVA
0 - 1
UKR
25%
27%
48%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |