Germany vs Turkey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
CHE
1 - 1
DEU
23%
22%
56%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
DEU
1 - 1
ESP
43%
23%
35%
|
94 | 96 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
DEU
6 - 1
NIR
90%
8%
2%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
DEU
4 - 0
BLR
90%
7%
2%
|
94 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
EST
0 - 3
DEU
4%
12%
84%
|
94 | 69 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
SRB
0 - 0
TUR
45%
25%
31%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
TUR
0 - 1
HUN
61%
22%
17%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
AND
0 - 2
TUR
10%
19%
72%
|
88 | 38 | 50 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
TUR
0 - 0
ISL
62%
22%
17%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
FRA
1 - 1
TUR
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | +1 |