Germany vs Turkey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
3.51
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
10.6%
7.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
SUI
2 - 3
GER
40%
21%
39%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1950 |
GER
1 - 0
SUI
82%
10%
7%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1942 |
SVK
2 - 5
GER
33%
22%
45%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
GER
5 - 1
CRO
77%
13%
10%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
SUI
3 - 5
GER
40%
22%
39%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
SWE
3 - 1
TUR
84%
9%
7%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
TUR
3 - 2
ISR
54%
19%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1950 |
ISR
5 - 1
TUR
49%
20%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1950 |
TUR
6 - 1
IRN
60%
18%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
TUR
7 - 0
SYR
79%
12%
8%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | +1 |