Germany vs Switzerland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
7.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1956 |
GER
1 - 2
SUN
87%
8%
5%
|
85 | 30 | 55 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1956 |
SWE
2 - 2
GER
65%
17%
19%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1956 |
NOR
1 - 3
GER
35%
22%
43%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1956 |
GER
1 - 3
ENG
54%
20%
26%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1955 |
ITA
2 - 1
GER
62%
18%
20%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
SUI
1 - 1
ITA
42%
23%
35%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1956 |
SUI
2 - 3
NED
62%
18%
20%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1956 |
SUI
1 - 6
CSK
54%
20%
26%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1956 |
ISR
1 - 1
SUI
51%
20%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1956 |
SUI
1 - 1
BRA
37%
22%
41%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |