Germany vs Switzerland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
8.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1940 |
GER
1 - 0
DEN
74%
14%
12%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1940 |
YUG
2 - 0
GER
37%
21%
42%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
GER
7 - 3
BGR
82%
10%
7%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
HUN
2 - 2
GER
59%
19%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1940 |
SVK
0 - 1
GER
42%
22%
37%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
HUN
3 - 0
SUI
78%
12%
10%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
ITA
1 - 1
SUI
79%
12%
8%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1939 |
SUI
3 - 1
ITA
37%
23%
40%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +2 |
| 04 Jun. 1939 |
POL
1 - 1
SUI
63%
18%
19%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1939 |
BEL
1 - 2
SUI
53%
20%
27%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |