Germany vs Switzerland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
15.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1928 |
SWE
2 - 0
GER
71%
15%
14%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1928 |
NOR
0 - 2
GER
43%
22%
35%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1928 |
GER
2 - 1
DEN
49%
23%
28%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1928 |
URU
4 - 1
GER
61%
19%
20%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1928 |
SUI
0 - 4
GER
48%
22%
30%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1928 |
HUN
3 - 1
SUI
76%
14%
11%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1928 |
AUT
2 - 0
SUI
76%
14%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1928 |
SUI
2 - 3
ITA
44%
23%
33%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1928 |
SUI
0 - 4
GER
48%
22%
30%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 May. 1928 |
SUI
2 - 1
NED
42%
23%
35%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |