Germany vs Switzerland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
20.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1926 |
NED
2 - 3
GER
67%
17%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1926 |
GER
3 - 3
SWE
41%
23%
36%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1926 |
GER
4 - 2
NED
39%
24%
38%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1925 |
SUI
0 - 4
GER
58%
20%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Jun. 1925 |
FIN
3 - 5
GER
58%
20%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1926 |
AUT
7 - 1
SUI
69%
17%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1926 |
ITA
3 - 2
SUI
61%
20%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1926 |
FRA
1 - 0
SUI
47%
23%
31%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1926 |
SUI
1 - 1
ITA
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1926 |
NED
5 - 0
SUI
70%
16%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |