Germany vs Switzerland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
19.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1910 |
GER
1 - 2
NED
47%
22%
32%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1910 |
GER
0 - 3
BEL
55%
20%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1910 |
NED
4 - 2
GER
69%
16%
15%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1910 |
SUI
2 - 3
GER
60%
19%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1909 |
HUN
3 - 3
GER
59%
19%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Switzerland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1911 |
SUI
2 - 0
HUN
57%
20%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1910 |
ENG
6 - 1
SUI
79%
13%
9%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1910 |
SUI
2 - 3
GER
60%
19%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1909 |
SUI
0 - 9
ENG
95%
4%
1%
|
74 | 17 | 57 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1909 |
GER
1 - 0
SUI
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |