Germany vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1974 |
GER
2 - 1
SCO
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1974 |
ITA
0 - 0
GER
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1974 |
ESP
1 - 0
GER
54%
24%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1973 |
GER
2 - 1
ESP
62%
22%
16%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1973 |
SCO
1 - 1
GER
37%
27%
36%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1973 |
SWE
2 - 1
AUT
70%
19%
12%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1973 |
MLT
1 - 2
SWE
21%
25%
54%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1973 |
ITA
2 - 0
SWE
68%
20%
13%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1973 |
FIN
1 - 2
SWE
16%
21%
63%
|
87 | 52 | 35 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1973 |
SUN
0 - 0
SWE
55%
23%
21%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |