Germany vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
14.8%
14.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1942 |
GER
7 - 0
ROU
80%
11%
8%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1942 |
BGR
0 - 3
GER
33%
22%
46%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
HUN
3 - 5
GER
56%
19%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1942 |
GER
1 - 1
ESP
67%
17%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
GER
1 - 2
SUI
83%
10%
7%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 1942 |
DEN
0 - 3
SWE
60%
18%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
DEN
2 - 1
SWE
59%
18%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1941 |
SWE
4 - 2
GER
59%
18%
23%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1941 |
SWE
2 - 2
DEN
71%
15%
14%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
DEN
3 - 3
SWE
61%
18%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |