Germany vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17%
18.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1937 |
GER
3 - 0
NOR
71%
15%
14%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1937 |
GER
4 - 1
EST
85%
9%
5%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1937 |
FIN
0 - 2
GER
38%
21%
41%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1937 |
LVA
1 - 3
GER
30%
22%
48%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1937 |
GER
8 - 0
DEN
66%
17%
17%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1937 |
SWE
1 - 2
DEN
71%
15%
14%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1937 |
NOR
3 - 2
SWE
49%
20%
31%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1937 |
ROU
2 - 2
SWE
47%
21%
32%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1937 |
POL
3 - 1
SWE
42%
21%
37%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 1937 |
SWE
7 - 2
EST
89%
7%
4%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | +1 |