Germany vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
27.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1934 |
GER
5 - 2
BEL
71%
15%
14%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
LUX
1 - 9
GER
35%
22%
42%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1934 |
GER
3 - 1
HUN
53%
20%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1933 |
SUI
0 - 2
GER
44%
21%
35%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1933 |
GER
2 - 2
NOR
62%
18%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1934 |
SWE
3 - 2
ARG
61%
19%
21%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1934 |
SWE
4 - 2
POL
75%
13%
12%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1933 |
NOR
0 - 1
SWE
50%
20%
30%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1933 |
SWE
2 - 0
FIN
84%
9%
6%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1933 |
LVA
1 - 1
SWE
33%
22%
46%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |