Germany vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
27.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 1932 |
FIN
1 - 4
GER
43%
21%
37%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1932 |
GER
2 - 0
SUI
77%
13%
10%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1931 |
GER
4 - 2
DEN
52%
22%
26%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1931 |
AUT
5 - 0
GER
66%
18%
17%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1931 |
NOR
2 - 2
GER
51%
21%
28%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1932 |
SWE
8 - 1
LTU
87%
8%
5%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 1932 |
SWE
3 - 4
AUT
54%
19%
27%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1932 |
EST
1 - 3
SWE
33%
22%
46%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1932 |
LVA
0 - 0
SWE
30%
21%
49%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1932 |
POL
2 - 0
SWE
48%
20%
32%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |