Germany vs Russia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
FIN
3 - 3
GER
13%
21%
65%
|
98 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
LIE
0 - 6
GER
8%
18%
74%
|
98 | 24 | 74 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
GER
2 - 0
BEL
78%
15%
8%
|
98 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2008 |
GER
0 - 1
ESP
35%
23%
42%
|
98 | 100 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2008 |
GER
3 - 2
TUR
86%
10%
4%
|
98 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Russia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2008 |
RUS
2 - 1
WAL
63%
22%
15%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
RUS
1 - 1
NED
20%
25%
55%
|
92 | 99 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2008 |
RUS
0 - 3
ESP
10%
17%
74%
|
92 | 99 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
NED
1 - 3
RUS
80%
14%
6%
|
92 | 99 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2008 |
RUS
2 - 0
SWE
37%
25%
38%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |