Germany vs Russia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
26.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1912 |
GER
1 - 5
AUT
63%
19%
19%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1912 |
SUI
1 - 2
GER
56%
20%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1912 |
HUN
4 - 4
GER
70%
16%
15%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1912 |
NED
5 - 5
GER
76%
13%
10%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1911 |
GER
1 - 4
HUN
56%
20%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Russia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 1912 |
RUS
1 - 2
FIN
69%
17%
14%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |