Germany vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2000 |
GER
8 - 2
LIE
97%
3%
0%
|
95 | 11 | 84 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2000 |
GER
3 - 2
CZE
81%
13%
7%
|
95 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
GER
1 - 1
SUI
71%
18%
11%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
CRO
1 - 1
GER
37%
26%
38%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
NED
2 - 1
GER
60%
23%
18%
|
95 | 97 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2000 |
ROU
2 - 1
GRC
67%
21%
12%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2000 |
NED
2 - 1
ROU
66%
20%
14%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2000 |
ROU
2 - 0
CYP
80%
14%
6%
|
92 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
GRC
2 - 0
ROU
29%
27%
44%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
CYP
3 - 2
ROU
16%
24%
60%
|
93 | 70 | 23 | -1 |