Germany vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.3%
8.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 1942 |
BGR
0 - 3
GER
33%
22%
46%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
HUN
3 - 5
GER
56%
19%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1942 |
GER
1 - 1
ESP
67%
17%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
GER
1 - 2
SUI
83%
10%
7%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1942 |
CRO
0 - 2
GER
45%
22%
34%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
ROU
3 - 2
SVK
54%
20%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1941 |
ROU
1 - 4
GER
39%
22%
39%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
YUG
1 - 2
ROU
55%
19%
26%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 1940 |
GER
9 - 3
ROU
77%
13%
10%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1940 |
HUN
2 - 0
ROU
77%
13%
11%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |