Germany vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.1%
10.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1940 |
ITA
3 - 2
GER
68%
17%
16%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
GER
1 - 2
YUG
82%
11%
8%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
GER
2 - 2
HUN
62%
18%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1939 |
GER
3 - 1
SVK
76%
14%
11%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1939 |
GER
5 - 2
ITA
52%
21%
27%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1940 |
HUN
2 - 0
ROU
77%
13%
11%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
ITA
2 - 1
ROU
78%
13%
10%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
ROU
3 - 3
YUG
67%
17%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1939 |
ROU
1 - 1
HUN
39%
21%
40%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1939 |
ROU
0 - 1
ITA
37%
23%
40%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |