Germany vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.9%
13.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1935 |
LUX
0 - 1
GER
30%
21%
50%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1935 |
GER
6 - 0
FIN
79%
12%
9%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1935 |
SWE
3 - 1
GER
64%
17%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1935 |
NOR
1 - 1
GER
47%
21%
32%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1935 |
GER
2 - 1
CSK
59%
19%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1935 |
GRC
2 - 2
ROU
46%
21%
33%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1935 |
BGR
4 - 0
ROU
46%
21%
33%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -2 |
| 17 Jun. 1935 |
ROU
0 - 2
YUG
80%
12%
8%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1935 |
ROU
0 - 4
YUG
82%
11%
7%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1934 |
BGR
2 - 3
ROU
41%
22%
38%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |