Germany vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
GER
3 - 0
SWE
67%
19%
14%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2006 |
GER
3 - 1
POR
50%
22%
28%
|
95 | 96 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2006 |
GER
0 - 2
ITA
45%
24%
32%
|
96 | 98 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2006 |
GER
1 - 1
ARG
42%
22%
36%
|
96 | 97 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2006 |
GER
2 - 0
SWE
66%
18%
16%
|
95 | 94 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
IRL
0 - 4
NED
25%
26%
49%
|
93 | 97 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2006 |
IRL
0 - 1
CHI
61%
23%
15%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
IRL
3 - 0
SWE
40%
28%
32%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
IRL
0 - 0
SUI
55%
25%
20%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
CYP
0 - 1
IRL
19%
26%
55%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | 0 |