Germany vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
10.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2002 |
GER
8 - 0
KSA
88%
9%
4%
|
96 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2002 |
GER
6 - 2
AUT
74%
16%
10%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2002 |
WAL
1 - 0
GER
19%
24%
57%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2002 |
GER
7 - 0
KWT
82%
12%
5%
|
96 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
GER
0 - 1
ARG
46%
24%
30%
|
96 | 98 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2002 |
IRL
1 - 1
CMR
75%
16%
9%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2002 |
IRL
1 - 2
NGA
70%
20%
10%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
IRL
2 - 1
USA
56%
25%
19%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
IRL
3 - 0
DEN
44%
27%
29%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
IRL
2 - 0
RUS
49%
25%
26%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |