Germany vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
8.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1960 |
GER
2 - 1
POR
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1959 |
HUN
4 - 3
GER
82%
11%
7%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
SUI
0 - 4
GER
39%
22%
40%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1959 |
GER
1 - 1
POL
84%
10%
6%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1959 |
SCO
3 - 2
GER
39%
23%
38%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1960 |
IRL
6 - 3
NED
55%
20%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1960 |
IRL
2 - 0
CHI
63%
19%
18%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
IRL
1 - 3
GBR
61%
18%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1959 |
GBR
3 - 2
IRL
46%
21%
33%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
IRL
3 - 2
SWE
37%
22%
41%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |