Germany vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.3%
6.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1955 |
GER
1 - 2
ITA
63%
18%
19%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1954 |
POR
0 - 3
GER
36%
22%
42%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1954 |
ENG
3 - 1
GER
69%
16%
15%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
BEL
2 - 0
GER
42%
21%
37%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
SUI
3 - 5
GER
37%
22%
41%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1955 |
NOR
1 - 3
IRL
58%
19%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1955 |
IRL
1 - 0
NED
55%
18%
27%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
IRL
2 - 1
NOR
53%
19%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
LUX
0 - 1
IRL
56%
19%
25%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1953 |
FRA
1 - 0
IRL
64%
17%
19%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |