Germany vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
3.52
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.3%
5.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
LUX
0 - 3
GER
30%
21%
49%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1951 |
GER
4 - 1
LUX
88%
8%
4%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1951 |
TUR
0 - 2
GER
40%
22%
39%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1951 |
IRL
3 - 2
GER
33%
22%
45%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
AUT
0 - 2
GER
61%
18%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1951 |
IRL
3 - 2
GER
33%
22%
45%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1951 |
NOR
2 - 3
IRL
59%
18%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1951 |
IRL
0 - 1
ARG
30%
22%
48%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1950 |
IRL
2 - 2
NOR
53%
19%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1950 |
BEL
5 - 1
IRL
57%
19%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |