Germany vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
14%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
11.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1939 |
LUX
2 - 1
GER
27%
21%
52%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1939 |
ITA
3 - 2
GER
68%
16%
15%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
GER
3 - 2
YUG
80%
12%
8%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
BEL
1 - 4
GER
33%
22%
46%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
ROU
1 - 4
GER
42%
22%
36%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1939 |
HUN
2 - 2
IRL
77%
13%
10%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
IRL
2 - 2
HUN
41%
21%
39%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1938 |
IRL
3 - 2
POL
58%
19%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
IRL
4 - 0
SUI
66%
17%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1938 |
POL
6 - 0
IRL
62%
18%
19%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |