Germany vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
3.45
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1955 |
SUN
3 - 2
GER
12%
15%
73%
|
85 | 19 | 66 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1955 |
GER
2 - 1
IRL
83%
10%
6%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1955 |
GER
1 - 2
ITA
63%
18%
19%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1954 |
POR
0 - 3
GER
36%
22%
42%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1954 |
ENG
3 - 1
GER
69%
16%
15%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1955 |
NED
3 - 0
NOR
60%
19%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
SWE
1 - 1
NOR
86%
9%
6%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1955 |
NOR
1 - 1
DEN
55%
20%
25%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1955 |
FIN
1 - 3
NOR
51%
20%
29%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1955 |
NOR
0 - 1
ROU
61%
18%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |