Germany vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15%
14%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1937 |
GER
4 - 1
EST
85%
9%
5%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1937 |
FIN
0 - 2
GER
38%
21%
41%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1937 |
LVA
1 - 3
GER
30%
22%
48%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1937 |
GER
8 - 0
DEN
66%
17%
17%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1937 |
SUI
0 - 1
GER
35%
21%
44%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1937 |
NOR
3 - 2
IRL
66%
17%
17%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1937 |
NOR
3 - 2
SWE
49%
20%
31%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1937 |
FIN
0 - 2
NOR
45%
20%
35%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1937 |
DEN
5 - 1
NOR
66%
17%
18%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1937 |
NOR
1 - 3
ITA
44%
23%
33%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |