Germany vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.9%
15.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 1936 |
GER
9 - 0
LUX
83%
10%
7%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1936 |
HUN
3 - 2
GER
55%
20%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1936 |
POR
1 - 3
GER
38%
22%
40%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1936 |
ESP
1 - 2
GER
60%
19%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1935 |
ENG
3 - 0
GER
61%
18%
20%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 1936 |
TUR
0 - 4
NOR
49%
21%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1936 |
SWE
3 - 4
NOR
77%
12%
10%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 1936 |
SWE
2 - 0
NOR
76%
13%
11%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 1936 |
NOR
1 - 2
SUI
74%
14%
12%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1935 |
SUI
2 - 0
NOR
47%
20%
33%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |