Germany vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.7%
19.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1933 |
GER
8 - 1
BEL
69%
16%
15%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
GER
3 - 3
FRA
72%
15%
13%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1933 |
ITA
3 - 1
GER
66%
17%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1932 |
GER
0 - 2
NED
60%
18%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1932 |
HUN
2 - 1
GER
63%
18%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1933 |
NOR
0 - 1
SWE
50%
20%
30%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1933 |
FIN
1 - 5
NOR
52%
19%
29%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 1933 |
NOR
4 - 2
HUN
90%
7%
3%
|
72 | 8 | 64 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1933 |
DEN
2 - 2
NOR
68%
16%
16%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1933 |
NOR
1 - 2
WAL
90%
7%
3%
|
72 | 10 | 62 | 0 |