Germany vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.3%
17.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1930 |
GER
5 - 3
HUN
51%
21%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1930 |
DEN
6 - 3
GER
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1930 |
GER
3 - 3
ENG
41%
22%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1930 |
SUI
0 - 5
GER
39%
23%
38%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1930 |
GER
0 - 2
ITA
54%
21%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1930 |
NOR
1 - 0
DEN
45%
23%
33%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1930 |
SWE
6 - 3
NOR
77%
13%
11%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1930 |
NOR
3 - 0
SUI
73%
15%
12%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1930 |
NOR
6 - 2
FIN
73%
15%
12%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1929 |
NED
1 - 4
NOR
69%
16%
15%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +2 |