Germany vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
16.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1927 |
DEN
3 - 1
GER
66%
17%
16%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1926 |
GER
2 - 3
SUI
59%
20%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1926 |
NED
2 - 3
GER
67%
17%
16%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 1926 |
GER
3 - 3
SWE
41%
23%
36%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1926 |
GER
4 - 2
NED
39%
24%
38%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 1927 |
NOR
3 - 5
SWE
34%
23%
43%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1927 |
NOR
3 - 1
FIN
59%
20%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1927 |
NOR
0 - 1
DEN
38%
24%
38%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1926 |
NOR
3 - 4
POL
51%
22%
28%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1926 |
NOR
2 - 2
DEN
38%
24%
38%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |