Germany vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
24.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 1923 |
GER
1 - 2
FIN
62%
20%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1923 |
SWE
2 - 1
GER
58%
20%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1923 |
SUI
1 - 2
GER
53%
21%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1923 |
GER
0 - 0
NED
39%
23%
38%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1923 |
ITA
3 - 1
GER
60%
19%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1923 |
FRA
0 - 2
NOR
50%
22%
28%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1923 |
DEN
2 - 1
NOR
69%
16%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1923 |
NOR
2 - 3
SWE
54%
22%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1923 |
NOR
2 - 2
SUI
58%
20%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1923 |
NOR
3 - 0
FIN
60%
20%
20%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |