Germany vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
15.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2005 |
GER
2 - 3
BRA
30%
22%
49%
|
95 | 98 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2005 |
ARG
2 - 2
GER
59%
21%
20%
|
95 | 98 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
TUN
0 - 3
GER
6%
15%
79%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2005 |
GER
4 - 3
AUS
83%
11%
6%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2005 |
GER
2 - 2
RUS
70%
18%
12%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2005 |
MEX
1 - 1
ARG
18%
21%
61%
|
93 | 98 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2005 |
GRC
0 - 0
MEX
30%
25%
46%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
MEX
1 - 0
BRA
13%
18%
69%
|
93 | 98 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2005 |
JPN
1 - 2
MEX
32%
25%
43%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2005 |
MEX
2 - 0
TTO
78%
15%
7%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | +1 |