Germany vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1998 |
GER
2 - 0
IRN
84%
11%
5%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1998 |
GER
2 - 2
YUG
46%
23%
30%
|
95 | 95 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1998 |
GER
2 - 0
USA
83%
12%
5%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1998 |
GER
7 - 0
LUX
87%
10%
3%
|
95 | 40 | 55 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1998 |
GER
3 - 1
COL
72%
18%
10%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1998 |
NED
2 - 2
MEX
72%
17%
11%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1998 |
BEL
2 - 2
MEX
53%
24%
24%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1998 |
KOR
1 - 3
MEX
38%
26%
36%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1998 |
MEX
0 - 0
KSA
71%
18%
11%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1998 |
JPN
1 - 2
MEX
40%
26%
33%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |