Germany vs Malta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.5%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.2%
3.2%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
ROU
5 - 1
DEU
39%
26%
35%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
DEU
3 - 0
BEL
64%
20%
16%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
HRV
1 - 2
DEU
32%
27%
40%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
DEU
0 - 3
FRA
37%
25%
38%
|
96 | 100 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
DEU
3 - 0
ISL
87%
9%
3%
|
96 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
MLT
1 - 2
FIN
24%
27%
49%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2004 |
MLT
5 - 2
EST
30%
25%
45%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
MLT
0 - 0
MDA
29%
24%
48%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2003 |
MLT
0 - 4
POL
15%
22%
63%
|
56 | 90 | 34 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
ISR
2 - 2
MLT
83%
12%
5%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | 0 |