Germany vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.9%
Win probability
3.5
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.2%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.2%
6-0
5.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.5%
5-0
9.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
+5
11.4%
4-0
13.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
17%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
5.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
2.5%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
5.5%
1.4%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.2%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1991 |
BEL
0 - 1
GER
76%
15%
9%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1991 |
GER
4 - 1
WAL
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1991 |
ENG
0 - 1
GER
89%
8%
3%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1991 |
WAL
1 - 0
GER
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
GER
1 - 0
BEL
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1991 |
WAL
1 - 0
LUX
85%
11%
4%
|
37 | 85 | 48 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1991 |
LUX
1 - 1
POR
9%
20%
72%
|
36 | 86 | 50 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1991 |
LUX
0 - 2
BEL
14%
24%
62%
|
36 | 88 | 52 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1991 |
BEL
3 - 0
LUX
88%
9%
3%
|
36 | 88 | 52 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1990 |
LUX
0 - 1
WAL
15%
24%
61%
|
36 | 84 | 48 | 0 |