Germany vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.1%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1936 |
CSK
1 - 2
GER
60%
19%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1936 |
POL
1 - 1
GER
42%
21%
36%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1936 |
GER
0 - 2
NOR
69%
16%
16%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1936 |
GER
9 - 0
LUX
83%
10%
7%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1936 |
HUN
3 - 2
GER
55%
20%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 1936 |
GER
9 - 0
LUX
83%
10%
7%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1936 |
LUX
1 - 5
NED
32%
21%
47%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1935 |
LUX
0 - 1
GER
30%
21%
50%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1934 |
LUX
1 - 6
FRA
52%
20%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
LUX
1 - 9
GER
35%
22%
42%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |