Germany vs Latvia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
3.37
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
6.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1935 |
GER
5 - 0
EST
85%
10%
6%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1935 |
POL
0 - 1
GER
42%
21%
37%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1935 |
GER
4 - 2
ROU
72%
15%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1935 |
GER
6 - 0
FIN
79%
12%
9%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1935 |
LUX
0 - 1
GER
30%
21%
50%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Latvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1935 |
POL
3 - 3
LVA
77%
13%
10%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1935 |
LTU
2 - 2
LVA
55%
20%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1935 |
EST
1 - 1
LVA
56%
20%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1935 |
LTU
2 - 2
LVA
55%
20%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1935 |
LVA
0 - 3
SWE
27%
21%
52%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | -1 |