Germany vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
9.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
OMA
0 - 1
GER
5%
12%
83%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
ENG
3 - 3
GER
38%
23%
39%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
GER
0 - 1
HUN
86%
10%
5%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
GER
5 - 2
ITA
60%
21%
20%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
HUN
1 - 1
GER
7%
15%
78%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
JPN
1 - 2
CAN
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
JPN
0 - 0
ECU
55%
23%
22%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
JPN
2 - 0
USA
42%
25%
33%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
JPN
3 - 0
KOR
45%
24%
32%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
JPN
0 - 0
CHN
73%
17%
11%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |