Germany vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
19.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
HUN
1 - 1
GER
7%
15%
78%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
GER
1 - 1
ENG
47%
22%
30%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
ITA
1 - 1
GER
33%
24%
43%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
NED
1 - 1
GER
43%
23%
35%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
GER
2 - 0
ISR
89%
8%
3%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
ENG
0 - 0
ITA
54%
24%
23%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
ITA
2 - 1
HUN
74%
17%
9%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
ITA
1 - 1
GER
33%
24%
43%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 3
ARG
33%
26%
41%
|
93 | 94 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
TUR
2 - 3
ITA
22%
26%
53%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | +1 |