Germany vs Israel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
6.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2001 |
GER
4 - 1
UKR
91%
7%
2%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
UKR
1 - 1
GER
6%
16%
78%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
GER
0 - 0
FIN
86%
11%
4%
|
96 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
GER
1 - 5
ENG
47%
25%
28%
|
96 | 98 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
HUN
2 - 5
GER
24%
26%
50%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
ISR
1 - 1
AUT
37%
24%
39%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
BIH
0 - 0
ISR
31%
25%
43%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2001 |
LTU
2 - 3
ISR
30%
26%
44%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2001 |
ISR
1 - 1
ESP
18%
22%
60%
|
85 | 98 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2001 |
LIE
0 - 3
ISR
10%
20%
70%
|
85 | 10 | 75 | 0 |