Germany vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.6%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.9%
4-0
11.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
15.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.3%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
8%
2.4%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
GER
4 - 0
BLR
90%
7%
2%
|
94 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
EST
0 - 3
GER
4%
12%
84%
|
93 | 70 | 23 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
GER
2 - 2
ARG
59%
21%
20%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2019 |
NIR
0 - 2
GER
9%
17%
75%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
GER
2 - 4
NED
55%
22%
23%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
NIR
0 - 0
NED
10%
19%
71%
|
82 | 94 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
CZE
2 - 3
NIR
70%
20%
11%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
NED
3 - 1
NIR
87%
10%
3%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2019 |
NIR
0 - 2
GER
9%
17%
75%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
NIR
1 - 0
LUX
79%
15%
6%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |