Germany vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.5%
26.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1955 |
ITA
2 - 1
GER
62%
18%
20%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1955 |
GER
2 - 0
NOR
84%
10%
6%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1955 |
SUN
3 - 2
GER
12%
15%
73%
|
85 | 19 | 66 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1955 |
GER
2 - 1
IRL
83%
10%
6%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1955 |
GER
1 - 2
ITA
63%
18%
19%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1956 |
FIN
1 - 5
ENG
29%
20%
50%
|
88 | 50 | 38 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1956 |
SWE
0 - 0
ENG
56%
19%
26%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1956 |
ENG
4 - 2
BRA
69%
16%
15%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1956 |
SCO
1 - 1
ENG
36%
22%
42%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1955 |
ENG
4 - 1
ESP
76%
13%
10%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |