Germany vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20%
29.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1938 |
GER
1 - 1
POR
74%
14%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
GER
2 - 1
LUX
85%
9%
6%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
GER
1 - 1
HUN
59%
18%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1938 |
GER
1 - 1
SUI
83%
10%
7%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1937 |
GER
5 - 0
SWE
65%
17%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1938 |
ENG
0 - 1
SCO
66%
17%
17%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1937 |
ENG
5 - 4
CSK
67%
17%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1937 |
ENG
2 - 1
WAL
76%
14%
10%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1937 |
NIR
1 - 5
ENG
25%
20%
55%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1937 |
FIN
0 - 8
ENG
33%
20%
47%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |