Germany vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
41%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1911 |
GER
6 - 2
SUI
61%
20%
20%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1910 |
GER
1 - 2
NED
47%
22%
32%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1910 |
GER
0 - 3
BEL
55%
20%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1910 |
NED
4 - 2
GER
69%
16%
15%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1910 |
SUI
2 - 3
GER
60%
19%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1911 |
ENG
1 - 1
SCO
77%
14%
10%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1911 |
ENG
3 - 0
WAL
87%
9%
4%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1911 |
ENG
2 - 1
INE
92%
6%
2%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1910 |
ENG
6 - 1
SUI
79%
13%
9%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1910 |
SCO
2 - 0
ENG
32%
23%
45%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |