Germany vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
8.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
ESP
2 - 1
GER
58%
20%
22%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
GER
2 - 0
DEN
65%
18%
17%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
SUI
1 - 1
GER
25%
22%
54%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
GER
2 - 0
HUN
78%
13%
9%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
GER
5 - 1
SCO
81%
12%
7%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
SCO
0 - 1
HUN
36%
25%
39%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
GER
2 - 0
HUN
78%
13%
9%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
HUN
1 - 3
SUI
31%
25%
44%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
HUN
3 - 0
ISR
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2024 |
IRL
2 - 1
HUN
32%
27%
42%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |