Germany vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
36%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1970 |
GER
2 - 1
IRL
80%
14%
7%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1970 |
GER
1 - 1
ROU
75%
16%
10%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1970 |
ESP
2 - 0
GER
54%
23%
24%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
MEX
0 - 0
GER
40%
24%
36%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1968 |
CHI
2 - 1
GER
37%
24%
39%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1970 |
HUN
1 - 2
SWE
77%
14%
9%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1970 |
HUN
2 - 0
POL
85%
10%
5%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
YUG
2 - 2
HUN
35%
24%
41%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1969 |
HUN
4 - 0
IRL
87%
9%
4%
|
92 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1969 |
HUN
3 - 0
DEN
85%
10%
5%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | 0 |