Germany vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.6%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.3%
17.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1941 |
GER
4 - 2
SUI
80%
12%
8%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1940 |
GER
1 - 0
DEN
74%
14%
12%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1940 |
YUG
2 - 0
GER
37%
21%
42%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
GER
7 - 3
BGR
82%
10%
7%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
HUN
2 - 2
GER
59%
19%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
BGR
1 - 1
HUN
33%
21%
46%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1940 |
CRO
1 - 1
HUN
46%
21%
33%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1940 |
ITA
1 - 1
HUN
68%
16%
16%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
HUN
2 - 2
GER
59%
19%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1940 |
HUN
0 - 0
YUG
82%
11%
7%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |