Germany vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20.1%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.2%
22.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
GER
2 - 1
LUX
85%
9%
6%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1938 |
GER
1 - 1
SUI
83%
10%
7%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1937 |
GER
5 - 0
SWE
65%
17%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1937 |
GER
3 - 0
NOR
71%
15%
14%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1937 |
GER
4 - 1
EST
85%
9%
5%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
LUX
0 - 6
HUN
26%
20%
54%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1938 |
POR
4 - 0
HUN
36%
21%
43%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1937 |
HUN
2 - 0
SUI
83%
10%
7%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1937 |
AUT
1 - 2
HUN
62%
18%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1937 |
HUN
8 - 3
CSK
63%
18%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |